Vitória Setúbal vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
52.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Setúbal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
VST
3 - 1
PAÇ
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
SLB
1 - 1
VST
69%
21%
10%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 0
VST
49%
27%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
VST
2 - 0
UDL
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
VST
2 - 0
SPB
36%
28%
36%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
SLB
2 - 1
MAR
67%
22%
12%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2007 |
SLB
1 - 0
CEL
54%
25%
22%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
SLB
1 - 1
VST
69%
21%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
UDL
1 - 2
SLB
20%
26%
54%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
SLB
0 - 1
SHA
52%
26%
22%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |