Vitoria de Sernache vs União de Leiria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
62.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 0
ALC
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 2
VIT
68%
21%
11%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 2
SER
18%
23%
59%
|
37 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NAV
4 - 1
VIT
56%
24%
21%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 0
ADM
53%
21%
26%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 0
UDL
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
UDL
0 - 0
NAV
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CRA
0 - 1
UDL
12%
19%
69%
|
57 | 26 | 31 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
UDL
0 - 0
CHA
23%
24%
53%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
UDL
1 - 0
PEN
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 28 | 28 | 0 |