Vitoria de Sernache vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
50.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitoria de Sernache
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
VIT
1 - 0
ALC
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
MAF
5 - 1
VIT
74%
18%
9%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 3
ALC
22%
25%
53%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -2 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
3 - 0
NAV
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 0
VIT
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SER
3 - 2
ANA
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
UDL
3 - 0
SER
77%
16%
8%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
SER
2 - 0
BEN
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SER
0 - 0
IRI
84%
11%
5%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SER
1 - 1
OLI
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |