El Salvador vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
67.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
CRI
2 - 2
SLV
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SLV
0 - 3
HND
27%
25%
47%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
SLV
2 - 0
MDA
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
SLV
2 - 2
NZL
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
SLV
0 - 2
EST
54%
23%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
MEX
3 - 1
GUY
87%
10%
3%
|
93 | 57 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
BRA
0 - 2
MEX
74%
17%
10%
|
92 | 99 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2012 |
MEX
2 - 1
BIH
78%
15%
7%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
WLS
0 - 2
MEX
22%
25%
53%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
MEX
0 - 2
COL
61%
23%
17%
|
93 | 92 | 1 | -1 |