El Salvador vs Guatemala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Salvador
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2014 |
SLV
0 - 2
ESP
4%
12%
85%
|
71 | 97 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2014 |
SLV
1 - 2
CIV
17%
22%
61%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
USA
5 - 1
SLV
84%
12%
5%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2013 |
SLV
1 - 0
HTI
46%
24%
30%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
HND
1 - 0
SLV
70%
18%
11%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Guatemala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
GTM
1 - 0
CUB
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2014 |
GTM
3 - 0
NIC
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2013 |
JPN
3 - 0
GTM
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
USA
6 - 0
GTM
80%
14%
6%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
GTM
0 - 4
ARG
7%
18%
74%
|
73 | 96 | 23 | 0 |