Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 2-16
Vitória Guimarães vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
45.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1941 |
SCP
12 - 0
VIT
81%
11%
8%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
FCB
1 - 6
VIT
37%
23%
40%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
FCB
0 - 0
VIT
36%
23%
41%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
FCP
11 - 1
VIT
76%
14%
11%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
VIT
3 - 2
FCP
44%
22%
34%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1941 |
SCP
12 - 0
VIT
81%
11%
8%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1941 |
SCP
4 - 1
SEI
85%
9%
6%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1941 |
SEI
1 - 3
SCP
32%
21%
47%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
FCB
0 - 3
SCP
9%
13%
78%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1941 |
BEL
5 - 1
SCP
44%
21%
36%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |