Liga Portugal Betclic Round 23

Vitória Guimarães vs Porto analysis

Vitória Guimarães Porto
66 ELO 83
-4.6% Tilt 3.4%
111º General ELO ranking 110º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
33.6%
Vitória Guimarães
23.3%
Draw
43.1%
Porto

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
Vitória Guimarães
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
43.1%
Win probability
Porto
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitória Guimarães
-10%
-2%
Porto

ELO progression

Vitória Guimarães
Porto
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória Guimarães
Vitória Guimarães
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 1954
ACA
Académica
1 - 0
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
62%
19%
19%
67 65 2 0
21 Mar. 1954
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
2 - 1
Benfica
SLB
18%
20%
62%
66 88 22 +1
07 Mar. 1954
FCB
FC Barreirense
6 - 3
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
59%
21%
20%
67 72 5 -1
28 Feb. 1954
SPC
SC Covilha
5 - 1
Vitória Guimarães
VIT
56%
22%
23%
68 68 0 -1
21 Feb. 1954
VIT
Vitória Guimarães
2 - 1
Oriental Lisboa
ORI
65%
19%
16%
67 62 5 +1

Matches

Porto
Porto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 1954
FCP
Porto
6 - 1
Oriental Lisboa
ORI
90%
6%
4%
83 63 20 0
21 Mar. 1954
ATL
Atlético CP
3 - 3
Porto
FCP
41%
24%
35%
83 73 10 0
07 Mar. 1954
FCP
Porto
9 - 1
Boavista
BOA
81%
12%
7%
83 64 19 0
28 Feb. 1954
BEL
Os Belenenses
5 - 2
Porto
FCP
57%
21%
22%
83 83 0 0
21 Feb. 1954
FCP
Porto
9 - 4
Vitória Setúbal
VST
76%
14%
11%
83 69 14 0