Vitória Guimarães vs Celje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 4
VIT
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
VAR
2 - 2
VIT
9%
20%
71%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 1
TON
70%
19%
11%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
RIO
1 - 1
VIT
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
FAF
0 - 2
VIT
6%
16%
78%
|
76 | 33 | 43 | 0 |
Matches
Celje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
CEL
5 - 0
NSM
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
CEL
3 - 4
VIT
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
ALU
2 - 2
CEL
23%
27%
50%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 2
TRA
23%
24%
53%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 2
MTK
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |