Vitória Guimarães vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
21.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
LEX
1 - 1
VIT
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
VIT
1 - 1
ATL
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
FCB
2 - 2
VIT
48%
26%
26%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
BOA
0 - 1
VIT
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
VIT
2 - 0
UFT
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1972 |
ACA
2 - 0
BEL
63%
23%
15%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
ACA
0 - 0
LEX
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
ATL
1 - 1
ACA
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
FCB
1 - 0
ACA
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1972 |
ACA
3 - 1
BOA
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |