Vitória Guimarães B vs Cesarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória Guimarães B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
VSC
1 - 1
SCF
37%
24%
39%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
VIZ
2 - 1
VSC
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
VSC
3 - 2
BRA
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
0 - 1
VSC
35%
25%
40%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
VSC
0 - 1
BOA
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cesarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
VIZ
0 - 0
CES
62%
22%
16%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CES
5 - 2
SAO
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
OSL
0 - 0
CES
45%
27%
29%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CES
0 - 3
SCF
23%
23%
54%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 0
CES
47%
25%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |