Capixaba First Round Round 9

Vitória ES vs Nova Venecia analysis

Vitória ES Nova Venecia
53 ELO 49
-1.7% Tilt -2.7%
4013º General ELO ranking 4371º
118º Country ELO ranking 134º
ELO win probability
42.4%
Vitória ES
23.4%
Draw
34.2%
Nova Venecia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
Vitória ES
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
34.2%
Win probability
Nova Venecia
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitória ES
+33%
-26%
Nova Venecia

ELO progression

Vitória ES
Nova Venecia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória ES
Vitória ES
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2025
JAG
Jaguaré
1 - 0
Vitória ES
VIT
32%
23%
46%
53 48 5 0
12 Feb. 2025
VIT
Vitória ES
1 - 2
Capixaba
CAP
72%
17%
11%
53 31 22 0
09 Feb. 2025
RIO
Rio Branco ES
1 - 1
Vitória ES
VIT
38%
26%
37%
53 54 1 0
05 Feb. 2025
VIT
Vitória ES
4 - 0
Vilavelhense
VFC
64%
20%
17%
53 38 15 0
01 Feb. 2025
VIT
Vitória ES
1 - 2
Real Noroeste
REA
52%
24%
25%
53 50 3 0

Matches

Nova Venecia
Nova Venecia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Feb. 2025
NVE
Nova Venecia
0 - 2
Real Noroeste
REA
41%
24%
36%
52 51 1 0
14 Feb. 2025
RVV
Rio Branco-VN
2 - 0
Nova Venecia
NVE
38%
25%
38%
53 54 1 -1
09 Feb. 2025
NVE
Nova Venecia
2 - 1
Porto Vitória
POR
33%
24%
44%
52 56 4 +1
06 Feb. 2025
DES
Desportiva Ferroviária
2 - 0
Nova Venecia
NVE
34%
25%
42%
53 53 0 -1
02 Feb. 2025
VFC
Vilavelhense
2 - 0
Nova Venecia
NVE
16%
19%
66%
54 36 18 -1