Vitória ES vs Aster Brasil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.3%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.1%
3.9%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
NVE
2 - 2
VIT
55%
21%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
VIT
5 - 0
GEL
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 16 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
PIN
0 - 1
VIT
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2022 |
REA
1 - 0
VIT
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2022 |
VIT
0 - 0
REA
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aster Brasil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
ABF
1 - 2
EST
10%
16%
74%
|
6 | 44 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
VFC
1 - 0
ABF
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 37 | 30 | -1 |