Baiano 1 Round 3

Vitória da Conquista vs Vitória analysis

Vitória da Conquista Vitória
49 ELO 75
-0.7% Tilt -2.6%
6595º General ELO ranking 188º
256º Country ELO ranking 27º
ELO win probability
13.8%
Vitória da Conquista
21.2%
Draw
65%
Vitória

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
Vitória da Conquista
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
65%
Win probability
Vitória
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vitória da Conquista
+4%
-7%
Vitória

ELO progression

Vitória da Conquista
Vitória
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vitória da Conquista
Vitória da Conquista
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2012
ALA
Atlético Alagoinhas
1 - 1
Vitória da Conquista
VIT
48%
24%
28%
50 49 1 0
18 Jan. 2012
VIT
Vitória da Conquista
4 - 3
Camaçari FC
CFC
52%
24%
24%
49 46 3 +1
18 Sep. 2011
VIT
Vitória da Conquista
2 - 0
Treze
TRE
32%
28%
40%
48 56 8 +1
11 Sep. 2011
BAH
Bahia de Feira
1 - 2
Vitória da Conquista
VIT
62%
22%
16%
47 57 10 +1
04 Sep. 2011
VIT
Vitória da Conquista
0 - 1
Coruripe
COR
36%
26%
38%
47 51 4 0

Matches

Vitória
Vitória
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Jan. 2012
VIT
Vitória
6 - 1
Juazeiro BA
JUA
84%
12%
5%
74 42 32 0
18 Jan. 2012
FEI
Feirense FC
1 - 1
Vitória
VIT
11%
18%
70%
75 48 27 -1
26 Nov. 2011
ASA
ASA Arapiraquense
1 - 2
Vitória
VIT
31%
27%
42%
74 64 10 +1
19 Nov. 2011
VIT
Vitória
1 - 2
São Caetano
SAO
64%
21%
15%
75 68 7 -1
12 Nov. 2011
VIT
Vitória
3 - 1
Criciúma
CRI
67%
20%
13%
74 67 7 +1