Vitória da Conquista vs Sergipe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
21.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
CSA
2 - 2
VIT
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 0
BOT
38%
28%
34%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SDJ
0 - 0
VIT
49%
25%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
BOT
2 - 0
VIT
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
VIT
1 - 0
SDJ
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sergipe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
SER
2 - 3
BOT
41%
27%
32%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
SDJ
2 - 0
SER
45%
27%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
CSA
60%
23%
18%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
CSA
0 - 2
SER
62%
21%
16%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
SER
6 - 1
SDJ
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +2 |