Vitória da Conquista vs Central SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitória da Conquista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
ITA
3 - 2
VIT
38%
28%
35%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
VIT
3 - 3
JAC
81%
12%
7%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
JAC
2 - 3
VIT
22%
22%
56%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
VIT
2 - 1
ITA
57%
23%
20%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CEN
1 - 1
VIT
42%
27%
30%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CEN
1 - 0
AFP
64%
22%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
COR
0 - 2
CEN
29%
26%
45%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CEN
4 - 0
COR
52%
26%
22%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 0
CEN
26%
22%
52%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CEN
1 - 1
VIT
42%
27%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |