Vitesse vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vitesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ADO
2 - 2
VIT
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
VIT
0 - 2
AZA
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 3
VIT
31%
25%
44%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VIT
1 - 3
AJA
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ZWO
1 - 5
VIT
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 0
UTR
48%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
NEC
2 - 0
GRA
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
AZA
2 - 4
NEC
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
NEC
4 - 0
SPA
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
NEC
1 - 1
GRO
45%
24%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |