J1 League Round 24

Vissel Kobe vs Kashiwa Reysol analysis

Vissel Kobe Kashiwa Reysol
82 ELO 73
4.3% Tilt 0.6%
403º General ELO ranking 428º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
68.7%
Vissel Kobe
19.3%
Draw
12%
Kashiwa Reysol

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
Vissel Kobe
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12%
Win probability
Kashiwa Reysol
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vissel Kobe
+11%
+21%
Kashiwa Reysol

Points and table prediction

Vissel Kobe
Their league position
Kashiwa Reysol
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
71
33
11º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Vissel Kobe
71
71
100%
Yokohama F. Marinos
64
64
100%
Urawa Reds
57
57
100%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
56
56
100%
Kashima Antlers
52
52
0%
Nagoya Grampus
52
52
100%
Avispa Fukuoka
52
52
0%
Kawasaki Frontale
50
50
100%
Cerezo Osaka
49
49
100%
Albirex Niigata
10º
45
45
10º
100%
FC Tokyo
11º
43
43
11º
100%
Consadole Sapporo
12º
40
40
12º
0%
Kyoto Sanga
13º
40
40
13º
0%
Sagan Tosu
14º
38
38
14º
100%
Shonan Bellmare
15º
34
34
15º
0%
Gamba Osaka
16º
34
34
16º
0%
Kashiwa Reysol
17º
33
33
17º
100%
Yokohama
18º
29
29
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Vissel Kobe
Kashiwa Reysol
Champion
100% 0%
AFC Champions League Elite
0% 0%
AFC Champions League 2
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Vissel Kobe
Kashiwa Reysol
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vissel Kobe
Vissel Kobe
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 2023
KAW
Kawasaki Frontale
0 - 1
Vissel Kobe
VIS
46%
25%
30%
83 83 0 0
06 Aug. 2023
YOK
Yokohama
2 - 0
Vissel Kobe
VIS
11%
22%
67%
83 63 20 0
02 Aug. 2023
VEN
Ventforet Kofu
1 - 4
Vissel Kobe
VIS
18%
23%
58%
83 63 20 0
22 Jul. 2023
VIS
Vissel Kobe
2 - 2
Kawasaki Frontale
KAW
42%
24%
34%
83 83 0 0
16 Jul. 2023
VIS
Vissel Kobe
2 - 1
Sagan Tosu
SAG
66%
20%
14%
83 74 9 0

Matches

Kashiwa Reysol
Kashiwa Reysol
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Aug. 2023
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
1 - 1
Cerezo Osaka
CER
35%
27%
38%
72 78 6 0
06 Aug. 2023
KYO
Kyoto Sanga
0 - 1
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
43%
28%
30%
72 71 1 0
02 Aug. 2023
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
1 - 0
Consadole Sapporo
CON
31%
23%
46%
71 77 6 +1
16 Jul. 2023
GAM
Gamba Osaka
3 - 1
Kashiwa Reysol
KAR
52%
26%
22%
72 75 3 -1
12 Jul. 2023
KAR
Kashiwa Reysol
2 - 0
Tokushima Vortis
TOK
71%
17%
12%
71 60 11 +1