Virum Sorgenfri vs BGA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virum Sorgenfri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FCO
2 - 1
VIR
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 2
VIR
32%
23%
46%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 0
ABT
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 1
HER
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 2
BGA
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
AVE
1 - 0
BGA
75%
15%
10%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
BGA
0 - 1
FA2
32%
23%
45%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 1
BGA
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
NBB
2 - 1
BGA
36%
24%
39%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |