AC Virtus vs Pennarossa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 3
JUV
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 0
MUR
39%
26%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
JUV
23%
24%
54%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
COS
2 - 3
VIR
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FAE
1 - 2
VIR
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Pennarossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PEN
2 - 1
FIO
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FIO
0 - 2
PEN
70%
19%
11%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
FOL
2 - 0
PEN
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 1
DOM
72%
17%
11%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SGI
1 - 3
PEN
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |