AC Virtus vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
TFI
1 - 0
VIR
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CAI
0 - 2
VIR
21%
25%
55%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
COS
0 - 2
VIR
9%
18%
73%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
VIR
2 - 1
TPE
17%
22%
62%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
VIR
0 - 2
PEN
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FAE
3 - 2
MUR
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 0
MUR
77%
16%
7%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 0
TFI
12%
21%
67%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MUR
0 - 0
SGI
54%
23%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
MUR
1 - 2
VIR
31%
26%
44%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |