AC Virtus vs Murata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
12.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
VIR
1 - 2
LIB
35%
26%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
VIR
1 - 0
FIO
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
TFI
3 - 1
VIR
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 1
VIR
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
FIO
0 - 2
VIR
40%
23%
37%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Murata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 1
SGI
65%
18%
18%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 2
FOL
19%
24%
57%
|
42 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MUR
0 - 5
CAI
49%
23%
28%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -3 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
FOL
3 - 0
MUR
74%
16%
10%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MUR
1 - 2
FIO
32%
27%
42%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |