AC Virtus vs Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
39.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
VIR
1 - 0
FIO
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
TFI
3 - 1
VIR
44%
24%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 1
VIR
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
FIO
0 - 2
VIR
40%
23%
37%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 0
VIR
46%
26%
27%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 1
TFI
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 1
FOL
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
CAI
0 - 0
LIB
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 1
FAE
69%
21%
11%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
LIB
2 - 0
VIR
46%
26%
27%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |