AC Virtus vs La Fiorita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
SMA
0 - 3
VIR
14%
21%
66%
|
67 | 22 | 45 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
VIR
4 - 0
FIO
75%
18%
8%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 1
LIB
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 2
VIR
14%
23%
62%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 0
PEN
74%
18%
8%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
La Fiorita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
CAI
0 - 1
FIO
8%
16%
77%
|
68 | 39 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
COS
1 - 1
FIO
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 1
MUR
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 1
FIO
14%
23%
63%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
FIO
1 - 0
FOL
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |