AC Virtus vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TPE
3 - 1
VIR
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VIR
1 - 1
FOL
19%
25%
56%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
VIR
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
DOM
2 - 0
VIR
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
JUV
2 - 1
VIR
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
COS
1 - 3
FIO
22%
24%
55%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
COS
1 - 2
FAE
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
COS
1 - 1
PEN
26%
26%
48%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CAI
2 - 1
COS
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
TFI
5 - 1
COS
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |