AC Virtus vs Cosmos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
VIR
4 - 2
FIO
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
FOL
0 - 0
VIR
23%
24%
54%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
FAE
1 - 1
VIR
30%
26%
45%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
VIR
0 - 2
PEN
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
LIB
5 - 2
VIR
43%
27%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cosmos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2006 |
COS
0 - 2
DOM
19%
23%
57%
|
47 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2005 |
FIO
0 - 2
COS
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
COS
0 - 2
MUR
18%
23%
59%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
COS
1 - 2
FAE
34%
27%
40%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2005 |
TFI
2 - 2
COS
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |