Lega Pro Group A Round 11

Virtus Verona vs Mantova analysis

Virtus Verona Mantova
63 ELO 60
-14.6% Tilt -15%
2235º General ELO ranking 1052º
75º Country ELO ranking 50º
ELO win probability
48.7%
Virtus Verona
26.7%
Draw
24.6%
Mantova

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.7%
Win probability
Virtus Verona
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.6%
Win probability
Mantova
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Virtus Verona
+12%
+3%
Mantova

Points and table prediction

Virtus Verona
Their league position
Mantova
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
14º
11º
80
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Mantova
80
80
100%
Padova
77
77
100%
Vicenza
71
71
100%
Triestina
64
64
100%
Atalanta U23
59
59
100%
Legnago Salus
56
56
100%
Giana Erminio
53
53
100%
Pro Vercelli
53
53
100%
Lumezzane
53
53
100%
Trento
10º
51
51
10º
100%
Virtus Verona
11º
47
47
11º
100%
Pro Patria
12º
46
46
12º
100%
AlbinoLeffe
14º
45
45
13º
0%
Pergolettese
13º
45
45
14º
100%
Renate
15º
45
45
15º
0%
Arzignano Valchiampo
16º
44
44
16º
100%
Novara
17º
43
43
17º
100%
Fiorenzuola
18º
38
38
18º
100%
Pro Sesto
19º
35
35
19º
100%
FC Alessandria
20º
23
23
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Virtus Verona
Mantova
Promotion
0% 100%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Virtus Verona
Mantova
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Virtus Verona
Virtus Verona
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2023
PRO
Pro Sesto
0 - 1
Virtus Verona
VIR
23%
29%
48%
64 54 10 0
20 Oct. 2023
VIR
Virtus Verona
1 - 0
Fiorenzuola
FIO
74%
19%
8%
63 43 20 +1
13 Oct. 2023
ABN
AlbinoLeffe
1 - 0
Virtus Verona
VIR
16%
27%
58%
64 49 15 -1
07 Oct. 2023
UAR
Arzignano Valchiampo
0 - 1
Virtus Verona
VIR
25%
29%
46%
63 56 7 +1
03 Oct. 2023
VIR
Virtus Verona
0 - 1
Triestina
TRI
52%
25%
23%
64 57 7 -1

Matches

Mantova
Mantova
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2023
MAN
Mantova
1 - 0
Pro Vercelli
LEO
55%
24%
21%
58 55 3 0
21 Oct. 2023
MAN
Mantova
2 - 1
Novara
NOV
54%
23%
23%
57 54 3 +1
14 Oct. 2023
PRO
Pro Patria
0 - 0
Mantova
MAN
34%
27%
40%
57 55 2 0
06 Oct. 2023
MAN
Mantova
2 - 0
FC Alessandria
USA
61%
22%
17%
56 51 5 +1
03 Oct. 2023
MAN
Mantova
0 - 1
Pro Patria
PRO
57%
22%
21%
57 53 4 -1