Virtus Verona vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
56.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Verona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
CTT
1 - 0
VIR
87%
9%
3%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
VIR
0 - 0
RIM
63%
22%
16%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VIC
0 - 0
VIR
68%
21%
12%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
VIR
0 - 0
IMO
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
TRI
0 - 0
VIR
58%
23%
18%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
CES
0 - 0
IMO
70%
18%
11%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CES
1 - 3
VIC
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
IMO
1 - 4
CES
30%
25%
45%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
CES
1 - 1
PAD
38%
27%
36%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
PIA
1 - 1
CES
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |