Lega Pro Group C Round 20

Virtus Francavilla vs Turris Neapolis analysis

Virtus Francavilla Turris Neapolis
51 ELO 47
0.9% Tilt -14.3%
3804º General ELO ranking 4249º
124º Country ELO ranking 145º
ELO win probability
53.2%
Virtus Francavilla
23.2%
Draw
23.6%
Turris Neapolis

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
Virtus Francavilla
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.6%
Win probability
Turris Neapolis
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Virtus Francavilla
-31%
-37%
Turris Neapolis

Points and table prediction

Virtus Francavilla
Their league position
Turris Neapolis
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
17º
10º
44
19º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Catanzaro
97
97
100%
Crotone
78
78
100%
Pescara
63
63
100%
Picerno
60
60
0%
Audace Cerignola
60
60
0%
Calcio Foggia
59
59
100%
Monopoli
52
52
100%
Latina
47
47
100%
SSC Giugliano
47
47
100%
Virtus Francavilla
12º
46
46
10º
0%
Potenza Calcio
11º
46
46
11º
0%
Taranto
10º
46
46
12º
100%
Juve Stabia
13º
46
46
13º
0%
Avellino
14º
44
44
14º
100%
Turris Neapolis
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Monterosi Tuscia
17º
40
42
16º
100%
ACR Messina
16º
41
41
17º
100%
Gelbison
18º
37
37
18º
100%
Fidelis Andria
19º
34
34
19º
100%
Viterbese
20º
31
33
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Virtus Francavilla
Turris Neapolis
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Next round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Virtus Francavilla
Turris Neapolis
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Virtus Francavilla
Virtus Francavilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Dec. 2022
FRA
Virtus Francavilla
2 - 1
Viterbese
VIT
56%
24%
21%
50 48 2 0
11 Dec. 2022
PIC
Picerno
2 - 1
Virtus Francavilla
FRA
51%
26%
23%
51 53 2 -1
04 Dec. 2022
FCC
Catanzaro
4 - 1
Virtus Francavilla
FRA
76%
17%
7%
51 68 17 0
30 Nov. 2022
FRA
Virtus Francavilla
3 - 2
Pescara
PES
22%
24%
54%
50 62 12 +1
27 Nov. 2022
MON
Monopoli
1 - 0
Virtus Francavilla
FRA
49%
27%
24%
51 53 2 -1

Matches

Turris Neapolis
Turris Neapolis
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Dec. 2022
TUR
Turris Neapolis
1 - 2
Calcio Foggia
USF
24%
24%
52%
49 60 11 0
11 Dec. 2022
VIT
Viterbese
1 - 1
Turris Neapolis
TUR
44%
25%
31%
49 48 1 0
04 Dec. 2022
TUR
Turris Neapolis
1 - 3
Avellino
AVE
33%
27%
40%
49 57 8 0
30 Nov. 2022
TUR
Turris Neapolis
0 - 0
Fidelis Andria
FIA
58%
23%
20%
50 48 2 -1
27 Nov. 2022
MES
ACR Messina
0 - 1
Turris Neapolis
TUR
37%
25%
38%
49 47 2 +1