Virtus Francavilla vs Taranto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
MON
1 - 1
FRA
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 1
ASM
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
USV
2 - 0
FRA
14%
25%
61%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FRA
2 - 1
LEC
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
1 - 0
FRA
50%
27%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Taranto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
MES
3 - 1
TAR
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 2
AKR
50%
26%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
FON
1 - 1
TAR
60%
21%
19%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
TAR
1 - 0
FCC
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
TAR
0 - 1
MAT
18%
23%
59%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | -1 |