Virtus Francavilla vs Barletta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
FRA
1 - 1
UGE
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
NAR
1 - 0
FRA
53%
27%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
FRA
1 - 3
NOC
36%
27%
36%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
MAT
2 - 2
FRA
41%
28%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FRA
4 - 0
ACC
69%
19%
12%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Barletta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
ACC
1 - 0
SSB
39%
26%
35%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SSB
2 - 3
ASF
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 0
SSB
55%
25%
20%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SSB
0 - 0
VIR
35%
26%
39%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 1
SSB
53%
26%
21%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |