Virtus Francavilla vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
34.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
RPO
0 - 0
FRA
40%
28%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
FRA
0 - 0
PAG
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CAT
1 - 0
FRA
54%
25%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
FRA
0 - 1
JUS
40%
27%
34%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
USV
1 - 2
FRA
36%
28%
35%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
CAV
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
MON
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MON
3 - 1
TUR
54%
25%
21%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
TER
1 - 1
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CAT
3 - 1
MON
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |