Virtus Francavilla vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Francavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
VIT
2 - 1
FRA
35%
26%
40%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 0
CAV
50%
23%
27%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
MON
3 - 0
FRA
52%
26%
22%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
FRA
3 - 4
RPO
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SIC
1 - 1
FRA
25%
25%
50%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2019 |
FCC
0 - 1
CAT
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
TER
1 - 1
CAT
37%
27%
37%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2019 |
PAG
3 - 1
CAT
25%
23%
52%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
CAT
1 - 0
REN
74%
17%
9%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
RIE
1 - 4
CAT
25%
24%
51%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |