Virtus Entella vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
FIO
0 - 1
ACD
25%
26%
49%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ACD
3 - 2
ANC
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
ACD
28%
26%
46%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ACD
2 - 1
OLB
66%
21%
14%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FER
0 - 1
ACD
19%
26%
56%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MON
0 - 3
CES
27%
26%
48%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ASL
1 - 0
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
ACD
28%
26%
46%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 0
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |