Virtus Castelfranco vs Pianese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MEZ
1 - 0
VIR
40%
24%
36%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
VIR
0 - 0
SDT
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 1
ALF
67%
18%
16%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 5
LEG
39%
26%
35%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
COR
5 - 2
VIR
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Pianese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
PIA
3 - 2
VFC
61%
22%
18%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
COR
2 - 1
PIA
65%
21%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
TRI
0 - 0
PIA
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SSD
1 - 3
PIA
37%
27%
37%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
PIA
16%
23%
61%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -1 |