Virtus Castelfranco vs Massese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
VIR
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
THE
0 - 1
VIR
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 1
ACP
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
CAM
0 - 0
VIR
21%
24%
56%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
VIR
5 - 3
FID
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Massese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
MAS
3 - 0
IMO
52%
23%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ACP
1 - 4
MAS
24%
24%
52%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
MAS
0 - 0
FOR
68%
18%
13%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
THE
4 - 1
MAS
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
MAS
4 - 0
ACM
71%
18%
11%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |