Virtus Castelfranco vs Fiorenzuola analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Castelfranco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
COR
2 - 1
VIR
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VIR
0 - 1
IMO
58%
21%
22%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
RIM
2 - 0
VIR
39%
26%
35%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VIR
4 - 2
FOR
71%
16%
12%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
JMO
1 - 1
VIR
29%
24%
47%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Fiorenzuola
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2014 |
FIO
0 - 0
ABA
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VIN
1 - 1
FIO
22%
24%
53%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FIO
1 - 3
ACE
38%
26%
36%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FID
0 - 0
FIO
38%
27%
35%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SCA
1 - 2
FIO
61%
21%
17%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |