Casarano vs Sorrento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
ASF
2 - 2
VIR
29%
25%
46%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
VIR
4 - 0
POR
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
RAA
2 - 0
VIR
12%
21%
67%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -2 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
VIR
3 - 1
PUT
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 3
VIR
26%
25%
49%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
SOR
1 - 0
PUT
69%
17%
14%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SOR
0 - 3
TAR
36%
27%
37%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
FIA
2 - 0
SOR
32%
28%
39%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
SOR
0 - 4
ASF
65%
21%
14%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
NAR
3 - 1
SOR
27%
28%
46%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |