Casarano vs USD Bitonto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
41.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
LAV
4 - 1
VIR
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
VIR
1 - 0
PVM
82%
12%
6%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
VIR
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
VIR
2 - 0
AUD
32%
25%
42%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +3 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
NAR
0 - 1
VIR
41%
26%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
USD Bitonto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
USB
3 - 0
ASF
59%
22%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
HYR
1 - 2
USB
21%
24%
55%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
USB
2 - 1
ASD
81%
12%
6%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
MOL
0 - 1
USB
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
USB
1 - 1
SOR
57%
23%
20%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |