Virtus Casarano vs Grumentum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.3%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
9.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virtus Casarano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
NAR
1 - 1
VIR
24%
23%
53%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
VIR
4 - 2
FIA
71%
16%
13%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
BRI
1 - 1
VIR
40%
23%
37%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
TAR
0 - 0
VIR
48%
25%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
VIR
1 - 2
AUD
40%
26%
34%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Grumentum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
GRU
1 - 1
BRI
23%
20%
58%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
TAR
3 - 0
GRU
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
GRU
0 - 0
AUD
15%
23%
63%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
FBC
2 - 3
GRU
72%
16%
12%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
GRU
2 - 2
NOC
39%
23%
38%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |