Virovitica vs Podravac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
19.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
10º
8º
21
4º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 67 |
1º
|
75.5% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
2º
|
75.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
24.5% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 22 |
9º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
24.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
75.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virovitica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NDD
2 - 1
VIR
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VIR
3 - 0
NKS
38%
23%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
RMS
4 - 0
VIR
64%
18%
18%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NKV
2 - 0
VIR
61%
20%
18%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VIR
2 - 2
PAP
32%
22%
46%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Podravac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
POD
1 - 2
POD
17%
19%
64%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
NKP
3 - 0
POD
92%
6%
2%
|
14 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
NKK
2 - 1
POD
88%
8%
4%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NDD
2 - 1
POD
86%
10%
4%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
POD
1 - 3
NKS
36%
23%
41%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |