Virovitica vs Varteks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
69.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+77%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
7º
10º
9º
46
2º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 56 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Virovitica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NDD
1 - 0
VIR
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 0
NGK
19%
19%
62%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NKS
0 - 0
VIR
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 2
RMS
10%
17%
73%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
PIT
5 - 0
VIR
82%
11%
7%
|
14 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Varteks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
NKV
5 - 2
NGK
69%
17%
14%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
RMS
1 - 1
NKV
48%
23%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NKV
3 - 2
POD
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
NKP
1 - 0
NKV
84%
11%
5%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
NKV
2 - 3
NDD
66%
18%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | -1 |