VG United vs Rebels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
34%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
3º
6º
6º
32
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 46 |
1º
|
72.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 42 |
2º
|
58% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 38 |
3º
|
30% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 38 |
4º
|
29% | |
|
|
3º
|
32 | 36 |
5º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
24 | 34 |
6º
|
41.5% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 24 |
7º
|
81.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
8º
|
81.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
3 | 3 |
10º
|
82% | |
|
|
11º
|
3 | 3 |
11º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VG United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2022 |
WOL
3 - 0
VGU
54%
20%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
LIO
1 - 8
VGU
29%
22%
49%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
VGU
3 - 0
HBA
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
ISL
3 - 1
VGU
59%
19%
22%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
VGU
1 - 1
SUB
51%
21%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rebels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2022 |
REB
1 - 2
WOL
44%
22%
35%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
SUB
2 - 0
REB
47%
20%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
REB
4 - 1
LIO
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
REB
5 - 0
OMV
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
REB
2 - 1
OLU
50%
21%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |