Vinogradar vs Lokomotiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.7%
70.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vinogradar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
VIN
2 - 0
VRA
88%
9%
3%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
VIN
4 - 1
NMP
88%
9%
4%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
VRB
1 - 1
VIN
9%
18%
73%
|
50 | 28 | 22 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
VIN
1 - 2
NUK
85%
10%
5%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
LUK
1 - 2
VIN
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
IST
0 - 2
LOK
18%
26%
56%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
LOK
0 - 0
HKS
29%
25%
46%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
RIJ
1 - 1
LOK
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2019 |
LOK
0 - 4
DZG
21%
25%
55%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
ORI
0 - 3
LOK
4%
13%
83%
|
75 | 32 | 43 | 0 |