Vimy vs Chantilly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+76%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
10º
6º
37
1º
13º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 94.5% |
|
Relegation
|
14.5% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FEI
2 - 0
VIM
50%
22%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIM
3 - 0
MAR
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
3 - 0
VIM
45%
22%
33%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VIM
0 - 0
COM
70%
17%
13%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AAC
0 - 1
VIM
27%
23%
51%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chantilly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
4 - 0
AAC
69%
18%
13%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
COM
3 - 3
CHA
34%
24%
43%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 3
USM
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
LEN
1 - 2
CHA
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
ESL
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |