Vimy vs Lille II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
41.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
3º
10º
6º
37
6º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
85.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
85.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
6.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
20.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
39% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 19 |
13º
|
39% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VIM
3 - 2
FEI
23%
23%
55%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 0
VIM
64%
19%
17%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
VIM
0 - 2
VAL
55%
22%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VIM
2 - 0
LON
55%
21%
24%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
VIM
2 - 1
MAR
32%
24%
43%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Lille II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
COM
0 - 3
LIL
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LIL
1 - 3
USM
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
IRI
1 - 1
LIL
31%
24%
46%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LIL
2 - 3
LEN
31%
24%
46%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
VAL
2 - 4
LIL
35%
24%
40%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |