Vimy vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
58.1%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
10º
6º
46
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
60% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vimy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VAL
4 - 1
VIM
59%
20%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 3
VIM
61%
19%
20%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
VIM
2 - 1
LPV
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VIM
2 - 1
CHA
40%
22%
38%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SAI
2 - 0
VIM
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
LEN
2 - 3
CHA
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LEN
0 - 0
SAI
64%
18%
18%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
LIL
2 - 2
LEN
33%
23%
45%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
LEN
3 - 0
PDC
79%
13%
9%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
IRI
1 - 2
LEN
38%
23%
40%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |