Oberliga Baden-Württemberg Round 14

FC 08 Villingen vs ATSV Mutschelbach analysis

FC 08 Villingen ATSV Mutschelbach
34 ELO 32
7.7% Tilt -0.1%
5301º General ELO ranking 48377º
256º Country ELO ranking 2402º
ELO win probability
52.7%
FC 08 Villingen
19.9%
Draw
27.4%
ATSV Mutschelbach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
FC 08 Villingen
2.31
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
27.4%
Win probability
ATSV Mutschelbach
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

FC 08 Villingen
Their league position
ATSV Mutschelbach
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
72
41
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
FC 08 Villingen
72
72
100%
Göppinger SV
69
69
100%
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
68
68
100%
CfR Pforzheim
64
64
100%
Nottingen
57
60
100%
FSV Hollenbach
49
49
63%
Normannia Gmünd
48
48
63%
TSV Essingen
46
46
100%
VfR Mannheim
43
43
59%
Oberachern
10º
42
42
10º
59%
TSG Backnang
11º
42
42
11º
100%
Ravensburg
13º
40
41
12º
22%
ATSV Mutschelbach
12º
41
41
13º
63%
Bissingen
15º
36
37
14º
37%
Reutlingen
14º
37
37
15º
37%
FC Holzhausen
16º
36
36
16º
59%
Denzlingen
17º
36
36
17º
59%
Offenburger FV
18º
14
14
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
FC 08 Villingen
ATSV Mutschelbach
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 63%
Relegation
0% 37%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

FC 08 Villingen
ATSV Mutschelbach
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC 08 Villingen
FC 08 Villingen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2023
GOP
Göppinger SV
4 - 2
FC 08 Villingen
VIL
49%
23%
28%
34 36 2 0
07 Oct. 2023
VIL
FC 08 Villingen
4 - 0
TSG Backnang
TSB
65%
18%
17%
33 27 6 +1
03 Oct. 2023
REU
Reutlingen
0 - 3
FC 08 Villingen
VIL
31%
23%
46%
31 25 6 +2
30 Sep. 2023
TSV
TSV Essingen
1 - 2
FC 08 Villingen
VIL
23%
21%
57%
31 22 9 0
22 Sep. 2023
VIL
FC 08 Villingen
7 - 0
Offenburger FV
OFF
76%
14%
10%
32 22 10 -1

Matches

ATSV Mutschelbach
ATSV Mutschelbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Oct. 2023
ATS
ATSV Mutschelbach
3 - 1
TSV Essingen
TSV
76%
14%
10%
31 22 9 0
07 Oct. 2023
OFF
Offenburger FV
1 - 1
ATSV Mutschelbach
ATS
19%
18%
63%
30 20 10 +1
03 Oct. 2023
ATS
ATSV Mutschelbach
4 - 0
Ravensburg
RAV
62%
18%
20%
30 26 4 0
30 Sep. 2023
FCH
FC Holzhausen
1 - 3
ATSV Mutschelbach
ATS
35%
21%
43%
29 25 4 +1
23 Sep. 2023
ATS
ATSV Mutschelbach
3 - 1
Normannia Gmünd
NOR
66%
17%
16%
29 26 3 0