Villena vs Gimnástico FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
48.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1996 |
BUR
1 - 0
VIL
71%
18%
11%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
VIL
0 - 2
ACE
11%
22%
67%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
OND
6 - 0
VIL
88%
9%
3%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
VIL
2 - 2
ALI
18%
25%
58%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
JOV
4 - 0
VIL
82%
13%
5%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnástico FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1996 |
GIM
2 - 0
ELD
43%
26%
31%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
ALB
0 - 2
GIM
30%
28%
42%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
GIM
4 - 0
ALA
66%
21%
14%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
PIN
0 - 1
GIM
64%
22%
14%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
GIM
1 - 2
SDS
43%
27%
30%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |