Villena vs Redovan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
57.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
2 - 4
SFF
19%
21%
60%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
VIJ
2 - 1
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 1
JOV
16%
24%
61%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 0
VIL
52%
25%
24%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
HER
22%
25%
53%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Redovan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
VIJ
2 - 1
RED
58%
21%
22%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 0
RED
24%
22%
54%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
RED
2 - 0
HER
39%
24%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CDC
3 - 0
RED
18%
20%
62%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
RED
1 - 2
JOA
43%
23%
35%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |