Villena vs Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
66.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+271%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
BEN
1 - 1
VIL
50%
23%
28%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
TOR
2 - 3
VIL
29%
24%
48%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
1 - 2
ORI
42%
23%
35%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
IND
5 - 0
VIL
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
VIL
3 - 2
SFF
52%
23%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
THD
1 - 2
TOR
89%
8%
2%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
IND
3 - 1
THD
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
THD
2 - 1
UNI
51%
23%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
CAL
2 - 4
THD
35%
25%
40%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
THD
3 - 1
ELD
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |